Thursday, October 29, 2009

PERHAPS SOME GOOD ECONOMIC NEWS, FINALLY

he 3rd Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures came out, and the GDP grew by a better than anticipated 3.5%, the best GDP news and first growth in a year. Senate Democratic Majority Leader Harry Reid's office has announced preliminary agreement on BOTH extension of, and enhancement to, the 1st Time Homebuyers Credit. The agreement in the Senate calls for extension of the credit which was scheduled to expire at the end of November to April 30th contract dates, as long as the closing is by end of June. The enhancement to the credit calls for a lesser credit (but still a very significant $6,500 credit) to be given to people who wish to sell one house and purchase another, as long as they lived in their first house at least five years. While critics say that people would have bought houses anyway, even if there was no credit, common sense shows that since there was a spike in 1st time house sales during that period, saying "it would have happened anyway," may be no more than political posturing. Of course, for this to take effect, the full Senate and House have to agree, and the President needs to sign into law. If you believe, as I do, that it is better to help people than the big corporations and banks (many of which got into trouble because of either their own greed or mismanagement), then I urge you to let your government officials know that you want this credit extension and enhancement.
Studies indicate that an essential part of economic recovery is a health housing market. These steps will help create that during this crucial time period. Most economists believe that the worst of the recession will be over by the end of the 2nd quarter of 2010, and so this "shoulder" period that the credit will help solidify is truly urgent.
We must also urge our elected officials to address the joblessness rate, putting people back to work in retrained positions, to help the US regain its position among the elite economies of the world. We have been let to believe that this is a worldwide crisis, which by and large it is. However, nations like Norway have very low unemployment rates (estimates are between 1.8%- 2%) because they have positioned themselves toward energy independence. China is another example of a country which has benefited from the economic weakness of other nations during this time (for example, a Chinese company is in soloe discussions with Ford to purchase Volvo, and another Chinese company has discussed purchasing Hummer).
We need to build upon these promising bits of economic news, and urge that our government officials understand that our number one priority has to be restoring the economy, reducing joblessness, and a health housing market. If the US does not have that as a base, then there will be little chance of other programs succeeding. We, as a nation, cannot continue to have huge and growing deficits, without a sound plan for recovery.
We also need to let politicians know that we are tired of empty rhetoric, but need detailed thinking that considers both the long-term and short-term ramifications of our actions.

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