Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Economic & Political Developments, & THE "SPIN"

Election Day was a busy day in the US yesterday. Oh, not particularly at the polls, where light to lighter-than-usual turnouts of voters at the polls yesterday. It was a "spinner's holiday" because any Democrat defeat or Republican victory would be "spun" into a statement on the President. Corzine's loss in New Jersey was more because of the unpopularity of the Governor and his policies, as well as voter anger about taxes, than any type of national indicator regarding the President (in fact, in NJ, exit polls indicated that over 55% stated that their vote had nothing to do with Obama). Similarly, nobody should have been terribly surprised with the Virginia gubernatorial result. But, President Obama brought this "spin" upon himself by campaigning so often in Virginia, and especially in New Jersey. Nationally, ansd especially in the New York metropolitan area, it was a bad Election Day for incumbents, who an angry and anxious electorate took their despair and unrest out on. It reminded me of the line from the movie, NETWORK,"I'm mad as hell and NOT going to take it an ymore!"
The US House of Representatives indicated that it will probably vote this week on both an extension and enhancement of the popular New Homebuyers Tax Credit. The goal stated is to get the bill to the President by next week, far ahead of the November 30th deadline. Critics claim that there really has not been that much of an economic advantage, because those that bought houses would have done so anyway. That is probably somewhat true; however, what is not stated is when, and the economic urgency of making the housing market healthy sooner rather than later.
The "spinners" are also having a field-day over the reported jobless numbers. "Only" about 203,000 more jobs were lost last month, so since this is NOT worse than expectations, the stock market appears to be celebrating, at least on a short-term basis. That is until the next report, and someone "spins" the numbers another way.
The hot news this morning is the report that NY Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is going after Intel for anti-trust violations, similar to the recently settled suit in Europe. Are we supposed to be surprised that Intel applied pressure and coercion on PC manufacturers to use their chip, instead of their competitiors. However, since Intel already dominates the chip industry with approximately 80% of the market, how much coercion was really necessary? Anyway, it gives the politicos and the press something to divert their attention, now that the elections are over.
Our political leaders still seem to be hiding from the real central economic issue-- joblessness. Until the American public regains their confidence that jobs will actually be restored as opposed to lost, and that there will be both job creation as well as job security, our economy will have an uphill battle to recovery. We need to open our eyes, and ask why. We need to question the status quo. We need to have the politicians know that the time for rhetoric is over - - it is now time for real action. Change is just a word unless it becomes an action!

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